Tuesday, July 11, 2023

The view from our porch for much of the day yesterday

Morning Observation:

This morning in North Hero at 7:00AM it’s currently 67 degrees under overcast skies. Winds are calm, and the rains have just stopped. Relative humidity is 99%, dewpoint 66, barometric pressure 29.77”. We picked up a 1.81” of rain yesterday and 0.76” so far today. Rain total for the storm (so far) is 2.71”. Yesterday’s high was 71, and yesterday’s low was 67. The overnight low got down to 66.

This morning in Huntington it’s currently 65 degrees and still raining under overcast skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 98%, dewpoint 65, barometric pressure 29.80”. We picked up 3.46” of rain yesterday and 1.13” so far today. Rain total for the storm (so far) is 5.21”. Yesterday’s high was 68, and yesterday’s low was 65. The overnight low got down to 65.

A Flood Warning remains in effect for Huntington and North Hero through 10:30AM today, and a Flood Watch remains in effect until 8:00PM.

Forecast Discussion:

Morning radar imagery shows the center of the low responsible for this historic flooding event now near Montreal. The low is expected to continue its trek northward with showers shutting down by this afternoon across the region. Indeed, showers have already shut down here in North Hero. Main stem rivers (Missisquoi, Lamoille, Winooski, Otter Creek) are all in flood stage at this hour and are expected to continue rising through the day today and crest sometime this afternoon. There are lots of road closures across the region. A good source for State road closure information is at www.newengland511.org. Note that this only includes State roads—there are many, many local road closures as well. Looking at the CoCoRaHS map, the big rainfall “winners” over the past 3 days of the event are Woodbury at 7.37″, Greensboro at 7.33″, and Middlesex at 7.21″. Rochester is reporting 5.92″ with 6.02″ in West Dover. And it’s still raining at this hour in all of those locations.

High pressure is expected to build in later this afternoon drying things out and bringing some sunshine west to east along with seasonably muggy conditions expected later today and into Wednesday. More rain is in the forecast, however, as low pressure over Hudsons Bay swings a series of shortwave troughs through the region midweek onward. We can expect showers and afternoon thunderstorms to crop back up Wednesday night into Thursday, and again on Friday. While we’re not talking about a lot of rain in any of these events, the already waterlogged soils will cause trouble for areas already effected by flooding. Unsettled conditions are expected to continue into the weekend.

3-Day Forecast:

We’ll see mostly cloudy skies today with showers before noon. Highs will be near 84 with west winds 6-10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80% with rainfall amounts between 0.10″-0.25″. Tonight should be partly cloudy with a low around 63 and south winds 5-10 mph.

Wednesday should be mostly sunny with a slight chance of afternoon showers. Highs will be near 84 with southwest winds 6-8 mph. Wednesday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 62 and light and variable winds.

Thursday should be mostly cloudy with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be near 80 with south winds 5-10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% with rainfall amounts between 0.10″-0.25″ with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday night should be cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.Lows will be around 65 with southeast wind 5-8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80% with rainfall amounts between 0.10″-0.25″ with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Almanac:

Last year on this date in Huntington we had a high of 84 and a low of 50.
Last year in North Hero we had a high of 83 and a low of 66.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 62 and a high of 83.
The record low was 48 in 1977.
The record high was 94 in 1948.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 96.51′ (up quite a bit from yesterday and expected to rise further…)
The water temperature is 67˚.
Last year’s lake level was at 95.54′.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 5:18AM
Sunset: 8:36PM
Length of day: 15:17:36
Today will be 1:19 shorter than yesterday.

The Moon is a waning crescent, 23.4 days old with 37% illumination.
Moonrise: 12:49AM
Moonset: 3:11PM

About Today’s Photo:

The view south from our porch here in North Hero yesterday was a study in grays. With calm winds and occasionally heavy downpours, the surface of the lake took on an interesting mottled pattern.

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