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Saturday, January 23, 2021

A red squirrel stakes out our feeder

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 8:00AM it’s currently 12 degrees and snowing lightly under overcast skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 85%, dewpoint 8, barometric pressure 29.98” and rising rapidly. We picked up 4.7” of fluffy snow overnight and have 16” at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 33, and the overnight low was 12.

Forecast:

Orographically-driven snow showers will continue through this morning over the northern ‘Dacks, northeastern Champlain Valley, and over the higher terrain of the northern Greens. Arctic high pressure building down from Canada will deliver cold and windy conditions today with breezy northwesterly winds. Daytime highs today and Sunday will only be in the mid-teens with overnight lows tonight and Sunday night dropping in the single digits either side of zero. Wind Chill Advisories have been issued for the northern ‘Dacks and portions of northeastern Vermont for tonight where the coldest wind chills are expected. Seasonably cold temperatures will persist through Monday before temperatures moderate a bit from mid week onward. With high pressure in place for much of the upcoming week, little or no precipitation is expected during the period.

We’ll see mostly cloudy skies today with a 40% chance of snow showers, mainly before 1:00pm. Highs will be near 13 with northwest winds 10-13 mph. Total daytime snow accumulations of less than 1″ are expected. Tonight should be mostly cloudy with a low around 4 and northwest winds 11-13 mph.

Sunday should be mostly sunny with a high near 15 and northwest winds 9-11 mph. Sunday night should be partly cloudy with a low around 1 and northwest winds 3-8 mph.

Monday’s looking sunny with a high near 21 and northwest winds 3-5 mph. Monday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 6 and light northeast winds.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 39 and a low of 14. We had 6″ of snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and a high of 27.
The record low was -19 in 1970.
The record high was 51 in 1957.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.12′.
The water temperature is 36˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:18AM
Sunset: 4:49PM
Length of day: 9:30:50
Today will be 2:10 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is waxing gibbous, 9.6 days old with 72% illumination.
Moonrise: 12:29PM
Moonset: 2:49AM

About Today’s Photo:

While we continue to have only a handful of birds here at our feeder this season, we do have a resident red squirrel who is quite active. He spends a good part of his (her?) day hopping between the ground beneath the feeder, the hemlock tree adjacent, and scampering up and down my studio stairs. I’m finding the color of his coat to be particularly bright and red!

Sony A7II, Sigma 100-400mm lens @ 400mm, ISO 800, f/8, 1/250″ exposure. 

Friday, January 22, 2021

First tracks in fresh snow

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:35AM it’s currently 29 degrees under cloudy skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 93%, dewpoint 27, barometric pressure 29.54”. We picked up 2.3” of new snow in the past 24hrs and have 13” at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 29, and the overnight low was 25.

Forecast:

Low pressure north of Montreal this morning will drag a cold front through the region today bringing some heavy snow showers with embedded snow squalls during the day today. The timing of the front looks to be midmorning to noonish in northern New York and midday to early afternoon for Vermont. With a quick inch or two of snow and white-out conditions possible during these squalls, travel conditions may become dicey, so be aware if you out and about. Snow flurries will continue into the evening and into Saturday morning in the mountains where up to 4″-8″ of fluff could fall by the time things shut down on Saturday. Cold Arctic air will move in behind the departing front later tonight with daytime highs this weekend only in the teens and overnight lows in the single digits either side of zero. Temperatures should moderate slightly early next week with mainly dry conditions anticipated.

We’ll see cloudy skies today with snow showers likely, heavy at times. Highs will be near 33 with south winds 5-8 mph becoming northwesterly in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90% with total daytime snow accumulations of around 1″ possible. Tonight should be cloudy with snow showers likely, mainly before 7:00pm. Lows will drop to around 9 with northwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% with new snow accumulations of less than 1″ expected.

Saturday should be mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of snow showers, mainly before 3:00pm. Highs will be near 13 with northwest winds 11-14 mph. New snow accumulations of less than 1″ are expected. Saturday night should be mostly cloudy and chilly with a low around 1 and northwest winds 10-13 mph.

Sunday’s looking mostly sunny and chilly with a high near 15 and northwest winds around 10 mph. Sunday night should be partly cloudy with a low around 3 and northwest winds 3-7 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 35 and a low of 17. We had 6.5″ of snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and a high of 27.
The record low was -22 in 1970.
The record high was 53 in 1959.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.10′.
The water temperature is 35˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:19AM
Sunset: 4:48PM
Length of day: 9:28:39
Today will be 2:07 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is waxing gibbous, 8.7 days old with 63% illumination.
Moonrise: 12:01PM
Moonset: 1:46AM

About Today’s Photo:

I got first tracks on my adventure up to the top of Crow Hill yesterday morning. The snow depth up at 2,200′ feet is close to 2′ now with a nice base consolidating making for super backcountry ski conditions.

iPhone 12Pro

Thursday, January 21, 2021

Snow bends the studio hemlock boughs to the ground

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:50AM it’s currently degrees under cloudy skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 90%, dewpoint 9, barometric pressure 29.73” and falling rapidly. We picked up 2” of fluff in the past 24hrs and have 13” at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 18, and the overnight low was -4.

Forecast:

Another day, another round of snow showers! Low pressure currently north of Lake Superior will track eastward into Québec today lifting a warm front through our region today and kicking off some renewed snow showers. We may see an inch or two here in Huntington as south winds kick up and temperatures rise into the upper 20 and low 30 today. As the low moves eastward tomorrow, a trailing cold front will swing through on Friday bringing more snow showers afternoon. Showers should persist into Saturday before chilly Canadian high pressure settles in bringing drier and cooler conditions from Sunday onwards.

We’ll see cloudy skies today with snow showers, mainly before 1:00pm. Highs will be near 27 with south winds 8-11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80% with snow accumulations of less than 1″ possible. Tonight should be cloudy with snow showers likely. Lows will be around 25 with south winds 7-10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% with new snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ possible.

Friday should be cloudy with snow showers likely in the afternoon. Highs will be near 33 with southwest winds 6-8 mph becoming westerly in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60% with new snow accumulations of less than 1″ possible. Friday night should be cloudy with snow showers likely early. Lows will be around 12 with northwest winds around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% with new snow accumulations of less than 1″ possible.

Saturday should be cloudy with a 50% chance of snow showers. Highs will be near 16 with northwest winds 10-13 mph. New snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are possible. Saturday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 4 and northwest winds around 11 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 19 and a low of -6. We had 7.5″ of snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and high of 27.
The record low was -19 in 1943.
The record high was 54 in 2006 (we had a high of 58).

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.13′.
The water temperature is 36˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:20AM
Sunset: 4:46PM
Length of day: 9:26:32
Today will be 2:04 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is waxing gibbous, 7.8 days old with 54% illumination.
Moonrise: 11:37AM
Moonset: 12:45AM

About Today’s Photo:

Persistent snow showers and light winds make for piles of snow on tree branch and bough. The hemlock by my studio stairs is laden in classic mid-winter form.

Sony A7II, Sony 50mm lens, ISO 320, f/1.8, 1/4000″ exposure.

Wednesday, January 20, 2021

Skiers in a winter wonderland at Camel’s Hump Nordic

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 8:00AM it’s currently 15 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 91%, dewpoint 13, barometric pressure 29.86”. We picked up a 2.3” dusting of snow in the last 24hrs and have 12” at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 28, and the overnight low was 15.

Forecast:

We’ve got an active weather pattern ahead of us for the next several days. A weak clipper low passing just south of Montreal this morning and a set of cold fronts will bring light snowfall to the western slopes of the ‘Dacks and northern Greens through this afternoon. Weak surface high pressure will build in briefly for tonight allowing temperatures to drop into the single digits overnight. Another clipper low will pass to our north on Thursday into Thursday night bringing another round of light snow showers to the region by early Thursday morning and lingering into Friday. Chilly Canadian high pressure will build into the region for the weekend bringing below normal temperatures with daytime highs in the low teens and overnight lows in the single digits either side of zero both Saturday and Sunday.

We’ll see cloudy skies today with a 50% chance of snow showers. Highs will top out near 23 this morning and drop during the day with calm winds becoming northwesterly 5-8 mph in the morning. Total daytime snow accumulations of 1″-2″ are possible. Tonight should be cloudy with a 20% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 9 with northwest winds 5-8 mph becoming calm.

Thursday should be mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of snow showers towards sunset. Highs will be near 27 with south winds around 10 mph. New snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are possible. Thursday night should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 24 with south winds 7-11 mph. New snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are possible.

Friday should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers. Highs will be near 33 with southwest winds around 6 mph becoming westerly in the afternoon. New snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are possible. Friday night should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 13 with northwest winds 6-8 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 17 and a low of -3. We picked up 1.6″ of new snow and had 8.25″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and a high of 27.
The record low was -22 in 1970.
The record high was 52 in 1951.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.17′.
The water temperature is 37˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:21AM
Sunset: 4:45PM
Length of day: 9:24:27
Today will be 2:01 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is in its first quarter, 7 days old with 45% illumination.
Moonrise: 11:15AM
No Moonset

About Today’s Photo:

All of the recent snow has made for a winter paradise at local nordic ski areas. Here a group of skiers makes their way up the Big Baldy trail at Camel’s Hump Nordic.

iPhone 12 Pro

Tuesday, January 19, 2021

One of our stone sculptures piled with snow

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:50AM it’s currently 11 degrees under partly cloudy skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 89%, dewpoint 9, barometric pressure 30.02” and rising slowly. We have 12” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 29, and the overnight low was 3.

Forecast:

After a cool and partly sunny start to the day, clouds will be on the increase out ahead of a weak clipper low which will cross the region today bringing light snow showers starting this afternoon and continuing overnight. We may see a dusting to 2″ out of this system by midday Wednesday. High pressure will build in Wednesday night dropping overnight lows into the single digits. On Thursday, a shortwave trough passing to our north will bring another round of snow showers with a dusting in valleys and perhaps 3″ of northern mountains possible by Friday. Chilly Canadian high pressure is expected to move in for the weekend.

We’ll see partly sunny skies this morning with increasing clouds and a 40% chance of snow showers this afternoon. Highs will be near 25 with calm winds becoming southwesterly around 6 mph in the afternoon. Total daytime snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are expected. Tonight should be mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 20 with south winds 5-7 mph. New snow accumulations of less of less than 0.50″ are expected.

Wednesday should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers around midday. Highs will be near 23 with northwest winds 6-11 mph. New snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are expected. Wednesday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 4 and northwest winds 5-9 mph becoming light and variable.

Thursday should be cloudy with a 40% chance of snow showers. Highs will be near 27 with south winds 9-13 mph. New snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are expected. Thursday night should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 22 with south winds 5-11 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 32 and a low of 10. We picked up 2.5″ of new snow and had 7.25″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and a high of 27.
The record low was -24 in 1976.
The record high was 65 in 1996.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.18′.
The water temperature is 37˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:21AM
Sunset: 4:44PM
Length of day: 9:22:25
Today will be 1:58 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 6 days old with 35% illumination.
Moonrise: 10:55AM
Moonset: 11:43PM

About Today’s Photo:

We have several balancing-rock sculptures on our back patio. The snow piled high on this one caught my eye yesterday morning as I was moving the snow around. 

iPhone 12 Pro

Monday, January 18, 2021

Looking east towards Gillett Pond Road across the beaver pond

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:45AM it’s currently 25 degrees and snowing moderately under overcast skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 90%, dewpoint 23, barometric pressure 29.59” and rising slowly. We’ve picked up 6.4” of fluffy snow overnight and have 14” at the stake! Yesterday’s high was 34, and the overnight low was 25.

Forecast:

A shortwave trough dropping south through the region today will bring morning snow showers across central and southern portions of the Vermont through mid morning. I was surprised to see the 6.4″ of fluff outside this morning! Drier conditions will move in later this evening and into Tuesday. A clipper low will move through the region Tuesday night bringing some light snow showers. Dry and seasonable conditions are expected for Wednesday, and then another clipper should swing through on Thursday bringing a shot of light snow. Temperatures for the most part will be near or slightly below seasonal normals for the period.

We’ll see cloudy skies today with snow showers likely, mainly before noon. Highs will be near 27 with northwest winds 5-8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. The NWS says total daytime snow accumulations of 1″-2″, but we’ve already seen a lot more than that… Tonight should be mostly cloudy with a low around 11 and northwest winds 3-8 mph.

Tuesday should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers towards sunset. Highs will be near 27 with light and variable winds. Little or no snow accumulation is expected. Tuesday night should be mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 20 with south winds around 8 mph becoming northwest after midnight. New snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are expected.

Wednesday should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers in the morning. Highs will be near 23 with northwest winds 7-10 mph. New snow accumulation of less than 0.50″ are expected. Wednesday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 5 and northwest winds 5-10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 22 and a low of -9. We had 6.5″ of snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and a high of 27.
The record low was -24 in 1974.
The record high was 53 in 1996.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.18′.
The water temperature is 37˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:22AM
Sunset: 4:42PM
Length of day: 9:20:27
Today will be 1:55 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 5 days old with 26% illumination.
Moonrise: 10:34AM
Moonset: 10:43PM

About Today’s Photo:

Here’s a broader photo of the beaver pond off Gillett Pond Road. You can clearly see that the lodge is active with several fresh branches poking out. Note too the otter tracks and slide starting at the lower right of the image and heading towards the open water around the lodge. Otter and beaver share the same habitat but don’t appear to be competitive as beaver famously are vegetarian and otter are carnivores eating a wide range of prey from fish and frogs to mollusks, turtles, and crayfish. Otter will often take up residence in abandoned beaver lodges.

Sony A7II, Sony 24-240mm lens @ 44mm, ISO 800, f/14, 1/320″ exposure. 

Sunday, January 17, 2021

Beaver and bobcat tracks on the ice

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:50AM it’s currently 32 degrees and snowing lightly under overcast skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 96%, dewpoint 31, barometric pressure 29.28” and rising slowly. We picked up 0.51” of rain and 4.5” of sticky, dense snow in the past 24hrs and have 8” at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 42, and the overnight low was 31.

Forecast:

The low pressure system that brought this round of rain and snow is currently tracking northeast of the region and will enter the Gulf of Maine today. A northwesterly wrap-around flow will continue to provide areas of snow to portions of the North Country today, especially across the higher terrain of the western slopes of the northern Greens and northern ‘Dacks where a few more inches of snow are likely to fall through the day today. Precipitation will taper off tonight in the deeper valleys while mountain snow showers will persist into Monday with additional light accumulations likely. A cooler, more seasonable pattern will settle in for the upcoming week with chances for snow showers Tuesday into Wednesday and again on Thursday into Friday a pair of clipper systems slide through.

We’ll see cloudy skies today with snow likely before 4:00pm, diminishing to a chance of snow showers in the evening. Highs will be near 35 with west winds around 14 mph gusting to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70% with daytime snow accumulations of 1″ to 2″ possible. Tonight should be cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 23 with west winds 6-10 mph.

Monday—M.L.King Day—should be cloudy with a 30% chance of morning snow showers. Highs will be near 27 with northwest winds around 7 mph. Monday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 10 and northwest winds 5-9 mph becoming light west after midnight.

Tuesday’s looking partly sunny with a high near 24 and calm winds becoming southwesterly around 6 mph in the afternoon. Tuesday night should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 16 with light and variable wind becoming westerly in the evening.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 12 and a low of -10. We picked up 6.2″ of snow and had 8″ at the stake (just like today!)

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and a high of 27.
The record low was -22 in 1974.
The record high was 52 in 1990.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.21′.
The water temperature is 37˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:23AM
Sunset: 4:41PM
Length of day: 9:18:31
Today will be 1:52 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 4.2 days old with 18% illumination.
Moonrise: 10:13AM
Moonset: 9:39PM

About Today’s Photo:

Among the myriad other tracks I encountered at the beaver pond the other day, was this great set of beaver and bobcat tracks. The two critters were heading in different directions with the beaver trundling left-to-right and the bobcat traipsing right-to-left. Both sets were pretty fresh—laid down within the last 10 hours of when I was there. The beaver was on its way from its lodge pond to tend to one of the damlets (is that a word?) downstream. The bobcat was on the prowl heading up towards the lodge pond.

Sony A7II, Sony 24-240mm lens @ 132mm, ISO 800, f/14, 1/320″ exposure. 

Saturday, January 16, 2021

A beautiful otter slide and tracks at the edge of a beaver pond

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 8:15AM it’s currently 38 degrees and raining under overcast skies. Winds are out of the SE at 5-10 mph. Relative humidity is 84%, dewpoint 34, barometric pressure 29.56” and falling rapidly. We’ve picked up 0.31” of rain and have 3.5” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 40, and the overnight low was 36.

There is a Winter Weather Warning in effect for eastern Addison County. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for various regions as well. Click here for details.

Screen Shot 2021-01-16 at 8.31.33 AM

Forecast:

The much anticipated storm is under way! Low pressure currently off the coast of New Jersey will track right up the Connecticut River valley today bringing a mix of rain and snow to the North Country. Mountain locations in the ‘Dacks and Greens are already seeing heavy, wet snow falling, while valley locations will see mostly rain through midday. As the low tracks north of the region later today into tonight, cooler air will move in allowing precipitation to transition to all snow. Snowfall should taper off in deeper valleys while intensifying across the northern mountains. Upslope mountain snow showers will continue Sunday into Monday with drier conditions expected in the valleys. Snowfall totals look to be 1″-3″ in broader valleys, 3″-6″ at 1000′ to 2000’, and up to 12″-16″ along the highest summits. This should be heavy, dense snow great for base-building! Next week looks to be active with additional chances for snow showers through the week as a series of clipper systems move through. Temperatures should return to seasonal norms.

We’ll see cloudy skies today with rain and snow before 4:00pm, mixing with snow in towards sunset. Highs will be near 38 with east winds 12-17 mph and gusting to 31 mph, becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100% with total daytime snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ expected locally. Tonight should be cloudy with a chance of rain and snow before 7:00pm, then snow likely. Lows will be around 30 with southwest winds 5-10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70% with new snow accumulations of 1″ to 2″ possible.

Sunday should be cloudy with a 40% chance of snow showers. Highs will be near 34 with west winds 11-14 mph. New snow accumulation of less than 1″ are expected locally. Sunday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 23 and west winds 7-11 mph.

Monday should be mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of snow showers. Highs will be near 28 with northwest winds 5-9 mph. New snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are expected. Monday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 12 and northwest winds 6-9 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 32 and a low of 12. We picked up 3.5″ of new snow and had 3.5″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and a high of 27.
The record low was -21 in 2009 (we had a low of -20).
The record high was 63 in 1995.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.12′.
The water temperature is 37˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:23AM
Sunset: 4:40PM
Length of day: 9:16:39
Today will be 1:49 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 3 days old with 11% illumination.
Moonrise: 9:49AM
Moonset: 8:33PM

About Today’s Photo:

I have driven by the beaver pond across Pond Road from Happy Hollow Road a thousand times and often said to myself, “you should take a closer look at that!” Well, yesterday I finally stopped my car and took a little walk through the snow and into the woods to take a look. I’m glad I did. The pond complex is fairly extensive with an active lodge and a series of dams dropping downstream towards the west. The place was also lousy with tracks! Beaver, mink, otter, bobcat, coyote, fox. You name it! This spectacular otter slide was a highlight amongst highlights. In the image, you can see the tracks clearly in the lower right corner, and then the slide path that bends towards and scoots along the dam. The otter then stood up, poked around a bit, and then launched itself back towards the camera, crossing over the initial slide path. It then scooted over the dam and slid down to the next pond level below. I can’t help but think that the otter had a big grin on its face—who doesn’t like sliding on snow! 

Sony A7II, Sony 24-240mm lens @ 24mm, ISO 800, f/14, 1/500″ exposure

Friday, January 15, 2021

Positive & negative space in Fargo Brook

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:35AM it’s currently 20 degrees under clear (!) skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 92%, dewpoint 18, barometric pressure 30.02” and rising slowly. We have 3.75” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 37, and the overnight low was 20.

There’s a Winter Weather Advisory in effect for our region from 1:00AM Saturday until 4:00PM Sunday.

Forecast:

We’ve got a tranquil day on tap today courtesy of a bit of high pressure cresting over the region. Looks like we’ll actually see the sun for a bit with daytime highs climbing into mid to upper 30s. By this afternoon, clouds should start to move in out ahead of a fairly juicy storm system, and it’s looking, folks, like we’re gunna get some snow! A complex pair of low pressure systems—one tracking out of the Ohio River valley and the other moving up the coast—will combine (phase) and track up the Connecticut River valley Friday through Saturday bringing a mix of precipitation types to the North Country. Snowfall will arrive in two distinct parts—the first as heavy, wet snow falling on portions of the ‘Dacks and south/central Greens late tonight into early Saturday. Totals there will be in the 6″-8″ range with up to 10″ likely above 2000’. Northwest New York should see 2″-4″ with only 1″-3″ in central/northern Vermont during this timeframe. Lower elevations in the Connecticut and Champlain valleys will likely see some rain through a good part of Saturday. As the low tracks north of the border later on Saturday, winds will swing into the WNW allowing for upslope snow to develop across northern Vermont and portions of the northern ‘Dacks Saturday night into Sunday. Additional accumulations of 3″-5″ are likely along the western slopes of the Greens with 2″-4″ on the lee (eastern) side of the northern Greens on Sunday. Heading into next week, cooler seasonal temperatures are expected with several chances for light snow showers through the week.

We’ll see mostly sunny skies today with a high near 36 and south winds 5-9 mph becoming southeasterly in the morning. Tonight should be cloudy with a 60% chance of snow between 11:00pm and 1:00am, mixing with rain towards sunrise. Lows will be around 33 with southeast winds 15-20 mph. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Saturday should be cloudy with rain and snow before 7:00am, then rain between 7:00am and 3:00pm, mixing with snow by sunset. Highs will be near 38 with east winds 18-23 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100% with little or no snow accumulation expected. Saturday night should be cloudy with snow likely. Lows will be around 30 with light west winds increasing to 6-11 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70% with new snow accumulations of 1″ to 3″ possible.

Sunday should be cloudy with snow likely before 1:00pm diminishing to snow showers in the afternoon. Highs will be near 33 with west winds 11-15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% with new snow accumulations of 1″-2″ possible. Sunday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 21 and west winds 5-8 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 38 and a low of 31. We picked up 0.07″ of rain. No snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and a high of 27.
The record low was -30 in 1957 (brrrr!)
The record high was 66 in 1995.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.15′.
The water temperature is 37˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:24AM
Sunset: 4:39PM
Length of day: 9:14:50
Today will be 1:45 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 2.2 days old with 5.5% illumination.
Moonrise: 9:21AM
Moonset: 7:25PM

About Today’s Photo:

Fargo Brook flows beneath the ice in this study of positive and negative space. What do you see?

iPhone 12 Pro

Thursday, January 14, 2021

Anchor ice forming in Fargo Brook

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:35AM it’s currently 33 degrees under overcast skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 79%, dewpoint 28, barometric pressure 29.81”. We have 4” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 34, and the overnight low was 31.

Forecast:

Cloudy and mild conditions will continue today and into Friday with daytime highs today in the mid 30s and around 40 tomorrow. A weak upper level trough passing to our north today may kick off some minor flurries or areas of light freezing drizzle, especially in
the higher terrain. We may see some breaks in the clouds on Friday with a weak ridge of high pressure building in before the next weather maker arrives Friday night into Saturday. Low pressure tracking out of the Ohio River Valley will combine with a coastal low Friday night and track up the Hudson and Champlain valleys through Saturday. Unfortunately, this puts us squarely in the warm zone of the storm. We’ll see snow Friday overnight, then rain through much of Saturday, finally changing back over to snow Saturday night. Snow accumulations at this point look to be on the order of 1″-3″ at elevations below 2000′ with maybe 6″ over the higher peaks. Some localized gusty winds are also expected. Cooler temperatures will arrive by Sunday with mountains light snow showers continuing.

We’ll see cloudy skies today with a slight chance of drizzle between around midday. Highs will be near 35 with light and variable winds. Tonight should be cloudy with a low around 27 and calm winds.

Friday should be mostly cloudy with a high near 38 and calm winds becoming southeasterly 5-8 mph in the afternoon. Friday night should be cloudy with an 80% chance of snow before 1:00am, mixing with rain by daybreak. Lows will be around 33 with southeast winds 15-20 mph. New snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ are possible.

Saturday should be cloudy with a mix of snow and rain early, becoming all rain after 8:00am. Highs will be near 42 with east winds 15-20 mph decreasing to 7-12 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100% with new snow accumulations of less than 0.50″ expected. Saturday night should be cloudy with rain and snow showers likely, becoming all snow after 11:00pm. Lows will be around 31 with southwest winds 5-11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% with rainfall amounts between 0.10″-0.25″ possible.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 38 and a low of 24. We picked up 0.10″ of snow but were still pretty much bare ground at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 10 and a high of 27.
The record low was -26 in 1914.
The record high was 60 in 1995.

The Lake Champlain lake level in Burlington is 95.16′.
The water temperature is 36˚.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 7:24AM
Sunset: 4:37PM
Length of day: 9:13:04
Today will be 1:42 longer than yesterday.

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 1 day old with 1.6% illumination.
Moonrise: 8:47AM
Moonset: 6:15PM

About Today’s Photo:

I love looking at the shapes and textures of the anchor ice in Fargo Brook. These three bits remind me of lace doilies draped over the rocks in midstream. With the forecast rainfall, what’s there now (not that much…) will be melting this weekend. 

Sony A7II, Sony 24-240mm lens @ 39mm, ISO 100, f/11, 1/10″ exposure.