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Thursday, November 21, 2019

glazed-magnolia-bud

An iced glazed magnolia bud in our back garden

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 8:00AM it’s currently 24 degrees under partly cloudy skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 95%, dewpoint 22, barometric pressure 30.21” and rising slowly. We picked up 1.8” of new snow and have 3” at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 33, and the overnight low was 23.

Forecast:

High pressure will briefly crest over the North Country today bringing dry conditions and partly to mostly sunny skies. As the high shifts east into the Gulf of Maine tonight, a warm front will lift across the region out ahead of low pressure advancing from the Great Lakes. This low will bring increasing clouds, gusty winds, and intermittent light rain showers during the day Friday. A following cold front behind the low will bring gusty westerly winds and snow showers Friday afternoon. Drier weather is expected for Saturday, but a developing coastal low may bring widespread mixed precipitation to the region on Sunday. Stay tuned…

We’ll see mostly sunny skies today with a high near 38 and light and variable winds. Tonight should become cloudy with rain likely late. Lows will be around 37 with south winds 7 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% with rainfall amounts of less than 1/10″ expected.

Friday should be mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of rain showers before 4:00pm, transitioning to snow showers in the afternoon as the aforementioned cold front swings through. Highs will top out near 40 in the late morning and drop through the afternoon with south winds around 16 mph becoming westerly in the afternoon. and gusting to 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50% with little or no snow accumulation expected. Friday night should be cloudy with a 30% chance of lingering snow showers. Lows will be around 21 with northwest winds 10 to 16 mph. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Saturday’s looking mostly sunny with a high near 35 and west winds around 6 mph becoming light and variable. Saturday night should bring increasing clouds with a low around 26 and light south winds.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 31 and a low of 7. We picked up 1.5″ of new snow and had 5.5″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 30 and a high of 43.
The record low was 8 in 2018 (we had the aforementioned low of 7).
The record high was 62 in 1953.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:55AM
Sunset: 4:19PM
Length of day: 9:24:35
Today will be 2:03 shorter than yesterday.

The Moon is a waning crescent, 23.7 days old with 33% illumination.
Moonrise: 12:30AM
Moonset: 2:03PM

Meteor Shower Alert!

If you happen to have a glimpse of clear sky tonight between 11:00PM and 12:00AM EST, take a look to the southeast under the constellation Orion. The Alpha Monocerotids are expected to put on a brief but intense show tonight, with perhaps as many as 400 fireballs in a short hour. Here’s a locator chart. For more info, look here.

Alpha_Monocerotid_Radiant

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

iced-white-pine

A layer of ice on white pine needles by the pond

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:40AM it’s currently 31 degrees and snowing lightly under overcast skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 96%, dewpoint 30, barometric pressure 29.98” and rising slowly. We picked up 0.23” of rain and a dusting of snow in the past 24hrs, and have 2” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 35, and the overnight low was 30.

Forecast:

An upper level trough will push across the North Country today bringing scattered snow showers especially in the Champlain Valley. Light flurries and snow showers will continue this morning into tonight before mostly dry conditions arrive Thursday as high pressure builds in. The next weather maker arrives Friday as strong surface low pressure approaches from the Great Lakes lifting a warm front through the region along with a mix of rain and snow Thursday night. Mixed precipitation should transition to all rain Friday before a trailing cold front swings through behind the departing low wrapping things up with snow.

We’ll see cloudy skies today with snow showers likely. Highs will be near 35 with north winds 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% with daytime snow accumulations of around 1″ expected. Tonight should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow, mainly before 11:00pm. Lows will be around 25 with northwest winds 5 to 7 mph. New snow accumulations of less than 1/2″ are expected.

Thursday should be mostly sunny with a high near 38 with southwest winds around 5 mph becoming calm in the afternoon. Thursday night should be mostly cloudy with snow showers likely between 7:00pm and 1:00am, transitioning to rain late. Lows will be around 29 with light south winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70% with snow accumulations of less than 1/2″ expected.

Friday should be cloudy with rain likely before 5:00pm, mixing with snow by nightfall. Highs will be near 44 with south winds 15 to 17 mph becoming westerly in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60% with little or no snow accumulation expected. Friday night should be mostly cloudy with snow showers likely, mainly before 7:00pm. Lows will be around 21 with west winds 11 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60% with little or now snow accumulation expected.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 32 and a low of 16. We had 4″ of snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 30 and a high of 44.
The record low was 9 in 1959.
The record high was 71 in 1991.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:54AM
Sunset: 4:20PM
Length of day: 9:26:39
Today will be 2:06 shorter than yesterday.

The Moon is a waning crescent, 22.6 days old with 44% illumination.
No Moonrise
Moonset: 1:33PM

About Today’s Photo:

Freezing rain coated just about every surface with a glazing of ice yesterday. The white pines by the pond looked a bit like confections as the boughs bent under the weight of the ice.

Panasonic GX8, Olympus 60mm macro lens, ISO 800, f/5, 1/200″ exposure.

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

mouse-tracks

Mouse tracks in the snow in our front yard

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 8:05AM it’s currently 31 degrees and raining lightly under overcast skies. Relative humidity is 95%, dewpoint 30, barometric pressure 29.76” and steady. We’ve picked up 0.11” of rain and a thin skim of ice over most surfaces. Snowpack is down to 2”. Yesterday’s high was 39, and the overnight low was 29.

A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for our region until 1:00PM this afternoon.

Forecast:

A weak surface low over the eastern Great Lakes this morning will continue to produce freezing rain across the North Country through the morning hours today, mixing with sleet around midday and tapering to sleet and snow as the low pushes to our east later this afternoon. A weak upper level trough will push across the region on Wednesday bringing some light mountain rain or snow showers. High pressure will build in briefly for Thursday before another storm system moves into the region on Friday bringing another mix of rain and snow to the North Country, this time without the icing…

We’ll see cloudy skies today with rain and freezing this morning, mixing with sleet midday and tapering off to snow and sleet later in day. Highs will be near 35 with calm winds becoming northwesterly around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100% with daytime ice accumulation of less than a 0.1″ expected, and little or no snow accumulation expected. Tonight should be cloudy with a slight chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 29 with calm winds. Chance of precipitation is 30% with little or no snow accumulation expected.

Wednesday should be cloudy with a 50% chance of snow showers. Highs will be near 35 with northwest winds 3 to 6 mph. New snow accumulation of less than 1″ is expected. Wednesday night should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 24 with calm winds. New snow accumulations of less than 1/2″ are expected.

Thursday’s looking mostly cloudy with a high near 37 and calm winds. Thursday night should be cloudy with a 70% chance of snow showers before midnight, changing to rain late. Lows will be around 29 with calm winds becoming southerly around 6 mph after midnight.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 41 and a low of 31. We had 6″ of snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 30 and a high of 44.
The record low was 10 in 1962.
The record high was 67 in 1941.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:52AM
Sunset: 4:21PM
Length of day: 9:28:46
Today will be 2:09 shorter than yesterday.

The Moon is waning gibbous, 21.6 days old with 55% illumination.
Moonrise: 11:16PM
Moonset: 1:00PM

About Today’s Photo:

Our front yard is (or rather was before the rain) a canvas of past activities for a plethora of critters. Rabbits, foxes, coyotes, birds, skunks, and a bajillion deer,  have all been moving around and leaving their tracks. Here, a single white-footed or deer mouse (it’s almost impossible to tell by their tracks) has made its circuitous way across our yard, criss-crossing itself several times. Note the tail-drag.

iPhone XR

Monday, November 18, 2019

ground-frost

Long frost crystals exude from the ground

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:50AM it’s currently a relatively balmy 29 degrees under cloudy skies. Winds are out of the south at 1-4 mph. Relative humidity is 88%, dewpoint 27, barometric pressure 30.03” and falling slowly. We have 3” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 36, and the overnight low was 25.

There is a Winter Weather Advisory in effect for our region from 6:00PM tonight until 1:00PM Tuesday.

Forecast:

We’ve got some messy weather on tap for today heading into tonight. The coastal low that was discussed yesterday is set to track well off the New England coast today and thus won’t be affecting our region as much as anticipated. However, a second trough of low pressure will move across the region later today. This system’s warm air will overrun cold temperatures on the ground bringing freezing rain into southern and eastern Vermont this afternoon and a mix of freezing rain and sleet into western Vermont and northern New York during the evening and overnight hours. This mix should change over to snow prior to sunrise on Tuesday and will gradually taper off during the afternoon hours on Tuesday. Beware of slick driving conditions Tuesday morning. Quieter weather is expected on Wednesday and Thursday before another storm system moves into the region on Friday bringing a mix of rain and snow to the region.

We’ll see mostly cloudy skies today with a high near 34 and east winds around 6 mph becoming calm. Tonight should be cloudy with freezing rain likely before 9:00pm, transitioning to freezing rain and sleet and eventually to mostly snow before sunrise. Lows will be around 27 with north winds 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100% with ice accumulations of less than a 0.1″ expected, and sleet/snow accumulation of less than 1/2″ expected.

Tuesday should be cloudy with tapering snow. Highs will be near 34 with light and variable winds becoming westerly around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90% with snow accumulations of 1″ to 2″ possible. Tuesday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 28 and calm winds.

Wednesday’s looking cloudy with a high near 36 and calm winds becoming northwesterly 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Wednesday night should be mostly cloudy with a low around 25 and northwest winds 3 to 5 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 31 and a low of 9. We picked up 1.75″ of new snow and had 7″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 31 and a high of 45.
The record low was 14 in 1956.
The record high was 65 in 1953.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:51AM
Sunset: 4:22PM
Length of day: 9:30:55
Today will be 2:11 shorter than yesterday.

The Moon is waning gibbous, 20.5 days old with 66% illumination.
Moonrise: 10:03PM
Moonset: 12:22PM

About Today’s Photo:

Long (3″-4″) fingers of frost exude from moist disturbed soils along the edge of a trail at Sleepy Hollow. They remind me of Play Doh being squeezed from a Fun Factory!

iPhone XR

Sunday, November 17, 2019

fargo-ice-waterflow

Looking close at flowing water and ice in Fargo Brook

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:45AM it’s currently a brisk 8 degrees under partly cloudy skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 90%, dewpoint 5, barometric pressure 30.51” and steady. Yesterday’s high was 24, and the overnight low got down to a record-breaking 2! We have 3” of snow at the stake.

Forecast:

The Arctic high pressure that brought another round of record-setting cold will slide to our east today allowing for a southerly airflow to set up which will push high temperatures closer to freezing today. A low pressure approaching southeastern New England today will push offshore east of the Cape Cod benchmark tonight and track up the coast Monday into Tuesday. Meanwhile, a second upper level trough will head our way from the Great Lakes Monday and will push through the North Country Monday night into Tuesday. These two systems will bring periods of messy mixed wintry precipitation to the region Monday afternoon into Tuesday with ice accumulations of 1/10″ to 2/10″ possible making for potentially icy travel conditions Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning. Mixed precipitation should transition to a period of snow or snow showers during the day on Tuesday with not much in the way of accumulation expected. Another round of snow showers is expected on Wednesday.

We’ll see mostly sunny skies today with highs near 34 and southeast winds around 7 mph. Tonight should be mostly clear with a low around 20 with southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.

Monday should be increasingly cloudy with a 50% chance of freezing rain developing around midday. Highs will be near 32 with east winds around 6 mph becoming light and variable. Monday night should be cloudy with freezing rain likely before midnight, transitioning to sleet after 1:00am. Lows will be around 28 with northwest winds 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70% with sleet accumulations of less 1/10″ expected.

Tuesday should be cloudy with snow likely. Highs will be near 35 with light west winds. Chance of precipitation is 70% with snow accumulations of less than 1″ expected. Tuesday night should be mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of snow showers. Lows will be around 26 with calm winds.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 39 and a low of 27. We picked up 2″ of new snow and had 6″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 31 and a high of 45.
The record low was 8 in 1972 (today’s low was 9).
The record high was 70 in 2006 (we had a high of 69).

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:50AM
Sunset: 4:23PM
Length of day: 9:33:07
Today will be 2:14 shorter than yesterday.

The Moon is waning gibbous, 19.5 days old with 76% illumination.
Moonrise: 8:54PM
Moonset: 11:37AM

About Today’s Photo:

I really love to capture images like this one. The conditions need to be just right: I shoot towards the sun with with a shutter speed of around 1/30″. The light bounces off the water turning what appears to the naked eye to be sparkles on the surface into “light squiggles”, and the water’s surface takes on the texture of cellophane. I like the way it captures a sense of solid state ice and liquid water.

Panasonic GX8, Lumix 14-140mm lens @  69mm, ISO 100, f/13, 1/30″ exposure.

Saturday, November 16, 2019

crow-print

Evidence of crow in our front yard…

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 8:15AM it’s currently a brisk 11 degrees under clear skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 81%, dewpoint 6, barometric pressure 30.60” and rising rapidly. We picked up 0.50” of new snow in the past 24hrs and have 3” at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 39, and the overnight low was 9.

Forecast:

Cold Arctic high pressure is building into the region today and will deliver very cold and dry conditions through the weekend. We’re set for another record low tonight with temperatures dropping to near zero locally and below zero in the usual cold pockets of the ‘Dacks and NEK. The high will slide to the east late Sunday and a warm front will lift into the region Monday out ahead of a coastal low. This system will bring potential for messy mixed wintry precipitation—including a possible freezing rain event—Monday into Monday night. Stay tuned…

We’ll see sunny skies today with a high near 22 and northwest winds 3 to 6 mph. Tonight should be mostly clear with a low around 4 and light and variable winds becoming easterly around 5 mph in the evening.

Sunday should be sunny with a high near 34 and southeast winds around 6 mph. Sunday night should be partly cloudy with a low around 21 and southeast winds 3 to 5 mph.

Monday should be mostly cloudy with a 70% chance of rain or freezing rain. Highs will be near 35 with north winds 3 to 5 mph. Precipitation amounts between 1/10″-1/4″ are possible. Monday night should be cloudy with freezing rain and sleet likely before 2:00am mixing with snow late. Lows will be around 27 with light northwest winds. Chance of precipitation is 70% with precipitation amounts between 1/10″-1/4″ possible.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 32 and a low of 23. We picked up 2.5″ of snow and had 4″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 31 and a high of 45.
The record low was 6 in 1967.
The record high was 73 in 1989.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:48AM
Sunset: 4:24PM
Length of day: 9:35:21
Today will be 2:16 shorter than yesterday.

The Moon is waning gibbous, 18.5 days old with 85% illumination.
Moonrise: 7:50PM
Moonset: 10:44AM

About Today’s Photo:

Now that there’s a layer of snow on the ground, the comings and goings of our various critter cousins becomes evident. Here, a crow ambled across the snow and took to the air leaving wingtip impressions in the snow.

iPhone XR

Friday, November 15, 2019

fargo-ice

Ice in Fargo Brook

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:35AM it’s currently 35 degrees under cloudy skies. Winds are light out of the south at 0-3 mph. Relative humidity is 64%, dewpoint 24, barometric pressure 30.08” and falling slowly. We have 3” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 32, and the overnight low was 31.

Forecast:

We’ve got warmer temperatures on tap today with highs in the upper 30s under mostly cloudy skies. The relative warmth will be short-lived, however, as a strong arctic cold front is expected to move through the region this afternoon and evening bringing convective snow showers and snow squalls across northern New York and northern Vermont during the evening commute. These squalls could produce white-out conditions and create very slick road surfaces as temperatures plummet quickly with the frontal passage. Take care out there! Frigid Arctic high pressure will move in behind the front bringing another round of record breaking cold temperatures for tonight and again on Saturday night. Temperatures will begin to moderate a bit on Sunday as the high moves to our east. An active weather pattern is in the cards as we head into the next week with chances for rain or snow.

We’ll see partly sunny skies today with a high near 37, dropping late this afternoon as the cold front moves through. Winds will be southwesterly at 14 to 18 mph, shifting into the west this afternoon. Chance of snow is 30% with daytime snow accumulations of less than 1/2″ expected. Tonight should be cloudy early with snow showers and squalls likely mainly before 8:00pm. Skies will gradually clear with a low around 6 and blustery northwest winds 16 to 21 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70% with snow accumulations of less than 1/2″ expected.

Saturday should be sunny and chilly with a high near 20 and north winds 3 to 6 mph. Saturday night should be mostly clear with a low around 4 and light east winds.

Sunday’s looking sunny with a high near 33 and calm winds becoming easterly around 5 mph in the afternoon. Sunday night should be partly cloudy with a low around 18 and light east winds.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 29 and a low of 9. We had 2″ of snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are a low of 31 and a high of 46.
The record low was 11 in 1996.
The record high was 67 in 1956.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:47AM
Sunset: 4:25PM
Length of day: 9:37:38
Today will be 2:19 shorter than yesterday.

The Moon is waning gibbous, 17.5 days old with 92% illumination.
Moonrise: 6:54PM
Moonset: 9:45AM

About Today’s Photo:

Like two fried eggs, a pair of stones accumulated ice in Fargo Brook.

Panasonic GX8, Lumix 14-140mm lens @  26mm, ISO 100, f/5.6, 1/30″ exposure.