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Thursday, February 22, 2018

IMG_3020

Snow melt pours down the mountain at Mad River Glen yesterday

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at :40AM it’s currently 27 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 72%, dewpoint 19, barometric pressure 30.64” and rising slowly. We picked up 0.05” of rain in the past 24hrs and are down to bare ground at the snow stake. Yesterday’s high made it up to 70, and the overnight low was 27.

Forecast:

Cloud cover will increase today as a weak shortwave trough brings a chance of snowfall to southern Vermont this afternoon. Clouds will then decrease through the overnight hours allowing temperatures to drop and return to near seasonal norms. Another shortwave trough will approach the region Friday and temperatures will quickly to near 40. Precipitation will build across the region late Friday morning with a transition from snow to sleet to rain expected. There’s not much moisture to work with so no real impacts are expected with this system as it quickly exits the region Friday night. High pressure builds in for Saturday. In general, temperatures are expected to be above seasonal averages for the foreseeable future…

We’ll see mostly cloudy skies today with highs around 30F and light and variable winds. Tonight should be clear with lows around 21F and light and variable winds.

Friday should start out partly cloudy in the morning then become cloudy with a mix of rain and snow later in the day. Some mixed winter precipitation is possible. Highs will be around around 40F with SSE winds at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Friday night should be cloudy with occasional rain showers. Lows will around 36F with SW winds at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain is 50%.

Saturday’s looking cloudy with highs around 39F and NW winds at 5 to 10 mph. Saturday night should be mostly cloudy with lows around 30F and east winds at 10 to 15 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 58 and a low of 33. We were out of town so I have unreliable precipitation data.

Burlington averages for this date are highs of 32 and lows of 14.
The record high was 61°F in 1981 (Burlington set a new high of 69 for yesterday’s date).
The record low was -20°F in 1963.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:42AM
Sunset: 5:31PM
Length of Visible Light: 11h 47m
Length of Day: 10h 49m
Tomorrow will be 2 minutes 58 seconds longer

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 6.3 days old with 38% illumination.
Moonrise: 10:22AM
No Moonset

About Today’s Photo:

Record high temperatures wreaked havoc the snowpack yesterday. Those of us skiing at Mad River Glen yesterday were commenting on how it was like April ski conditions in February. One of the waterfalls along the trails was gushing water and the sound of running water was ubiquitous.

iPhone 6S

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Wednesday, February 21, 2018

birch-cone

A birch cone dangles by a thread

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:05AM it’s currently 45 degrees under partly cloudy skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 95%, dewpoint 44, barometric pressure 30.11” and falling slowly. We picked up 0.11” of rain in the past 24hrs and are down to about 1/5” of ice-ish cover at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 50, and the overnight low was 41, and the overnight high was 58 at 3:30AM!

Forecast:

Record breaking warm temperatures are expected today which will cause significant snow melt and sharp rises on local streams and rivers. Areas of ice jam flooding are possible through Wednesday night. An Areal Flood Watch remains in effect for our region. Scattered rain showers will pop up this afternoon as a cold front pushes through the region allowing temperatures to drop back into the 20s and 30s tonight with drier conditions expected on Thursday. Friday will bring a renewed chance for some like snow or mixed precipitation in the afternoon. Long term forecasts are calling for above normal temperatures well into next week. Wherefore art thou Winter?

Morning sunshine will give way to rain for the afternoon. Record high temperatures are expected with highs near 65F and WSW winds at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain is 80%. Tonight should be partly cloudy and cooler with lows around 23F and NNW winds at 10 to 15 mph.

Thursday should be cloudy with high near 30F and light and variable winds. Thursday night should be partly cloudy with low around 22F and light and variable winds.

Friday’s looking partly cloudy skies during the morning hours, giving way to cloudy skies with a mix of rain and snow developing in the afternoon. Highs will be around 38F with SSE winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday night rain showers early will mix with snow showers late. Lows will be around 32F with SW winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 47 and a low of 12. We picked up 2″ of new snow and had 9″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are highs of 32 and lows of 14.
The record low was 59°F in 1981.
The record low was -19°F in 1950.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:44AM
Sunset: 5:30PM
Length of Visible Light: 11h 45m
Length of Day: 10h 46m
Tomorrow will be 2 minutes 57 seconds longer

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 5.3 days old with 28% illumination.
Moonrise: 9:48AM
Moonset: 11:44PM

About Today’s Photo:

A birch cone dangles by a thread from a branch on the tree at the edge of our front field.

Panasonic GX8, Olympus 60mm macro lens, ISO 800, f/8, 1/400″ exposure.


Tuesday, February 20, 2018

brutish-soldiers

A phalanx of British Soldier lichen on our back deck

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:15AM it’s currently 40 degrees and drizzling under overcast skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 97%, dewpoint 39, barometric pressure 30.16” and steady. We picked up 0.06” of rain overnight and have 4” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 46, and the overnight low was 37.

Forecast:

The thaw is underway… Low pressure over the Great Lakes this morning is conspiring with a large stationary ridge of high pressure off the Atlantic coast near Bermuda to funnel warm, moist Gulf Coast air into New England. We’ll see unseasonably warm, near record-setting temperatures across the area through Wednesday along with periods of showers or light rain. There’s an areal flood watch in effect for our region through Wednesday as rapid snowmelt is expected. A cold front will swing south through the area Wednesday evening with cooler temperatures and perhaps some lingering snow showers. An active weather pattern continues into the upcoming weekend with renewed chances for light rains and snows.

We’ll see rain early this morning with cloudy skies and showers in the afternoon. Highs will be around 54F with SSW winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain is 80%. Tonight should bring rain showers with overcast skies overnight. Lows will be around 54F with SSW winds at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain is 50%.

Wednesday should be partly cloudy during the morning hours giving way to cloudy skies and rain in the afternoon. Record high temperatures are expected with highs around 65F and SW winds at 10 to 20 mph. Temperatures will drop noticeably in the evening with the arrival of the aforementioned cold front. Chance of rain is 70%. Wednesday night should be clear to partly cloudy. Lows will be around 24F with NNW winds at 10 to 15 mph.

Thursday’s looking cloudy with highs around 31F and light and variable winds. Thursday night should be clear with lows around 23F and light and variable winds.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 36 and a low of 15.

Burlington averages for this date are highs of 32 and lows of 14.
The record high was 58°F in 1981.
The record low was -13°F in 1950.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:45AM
Sunset: 5:28PM
Length of Visible Light: 11h 42m
Length of Day: 10h 43m
Tomorrow will be 2 minutes 56 seconds longer

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 4.3 days old with 19% illumination.
Moonrise: 9:17AM
Moonset: 10:36PM

About Today’s Photo:

One of the white cedar boards on our deck has been overun by bright British Soldier lichens (Cladonia cristatella). The vibrant crimson heads certainly catch the eye!

Panasonic GX8, Olympus 60mm macro lens, ISO 800, f/14, 1/250″ exposure.


Monday, February 19, 2018

ice-sqiggles

Ice and flowing water in Fargo Brook

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:45AM it’s currently 35 degrees under partly cloudy skies. Winds are out of the the south at 2-4 mph. Relative humidity is 62%, dewpoint 23, barometric pressure 30.38” and falling. We have 6.5” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 36, and the overnight low was 18.

Forecast:

We’re on the cusp of a big warm up… Periods of showers and steadier rainfall will develop later today into Wednesday as a strong warm front lifts through the
region bringing near record-breaking warmth for Tuesday and especially on Wednesday. River ice breakup and potential flooding are strong possibilities so the National Weather Service has issued an Areal Flood Watch from late tonight through Wednesday evening. A cold front will move through Wednesday night into Thursday allowing temperatures trend cooler into next weekend, though remain well above late February norms. Additional precipitation will move into the
area by next weekend.

We’ll see partly cloudy skies early then becoming cloudy with periods of rain this afternoon. Highs will be around 43F with south winds at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain is 80%. Tonight should bring periods of rain. Lows will be around 41F with SSW winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain is 90% with rainfall near a quarter of an inch.

Tuesday should bring a steady rain in the morning with showers continuing in the afternoon. Highs will be around 54F with SSW winds at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain is 90% with rainfall around a quarter of an inch. Tuesday night rain showers in the evening should become more intermittent overnight. Lows will be around 53F with SSW winds at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain is 60%.

Wednesday should be partly cloudy in the morning with increasing clouds and periods of showers later in the day. Record high temperatures are expected with highs around 63F and SW winds at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain is 60%. Wednesday night evening clouds should give way to clearing. Lows will be around 24F with NNW winds at 10 to 15 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 51 and a low of 30. We had 12″ of snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are highs of 32 and lows of 13.
The record high was 62°F in 1981.
The record low was -23°F in 1944.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:47AM
Sunset: 5:27PM
Length of Visible Light: 11h 39m
Length of Day: 10h 40m
Tomorrow will be 2 minutes 56 seconds longer

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 3.3 days old with 12% illumination.
Moonrise: 8:48AM
Moonset: 9:30PM

About Today’s Photo:

I never tire of studying the way water flows and the different ways you can capture it with a camera. Adjusting shutter speed is akin to choosing a different brush as it allows for a wide range of effects in moving water. Here a 1/10″ shutter speed allows the water to blur just a bit while shooting towards the sunlight allows reflection highlights to create “light squiggles” across the surface. A shutter speed of 1/300″ would create an entirely different scene.

Panasonic GX8, Olympus 60mm macro lens, ISO 125, f/18, 1/10″ exposure.


Sunday, February 18, 2018

mouse-mink-tracks

Evidence of a hunt…

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 7:25AM it’s currently 27 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 92%, dewpoint 25, barometric pressure 30.11” and rising rapidly. We picked up 3” of new snow and 7.75” at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 33, and the overnight low was 27.

Forecast:

Light snow across portions of the region this morning will quickly end as low pressure off the southern New England coast pulls offshore and high pressure begins to build in. Drier conditions will develop for this afternoon and tonight before a significant warming trend is expected Monday through Wednesday of next week, along with periods of rain. Record high temperatures are possible Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs well into the 50s and possibly lower 60s.

We’ll see a mix of clouds and sun early followed by cloudy skies this afternoon. Highs will be around 36F with WNW winds at 10 to 15 mph. Tonight should be partly cloudy with lows around 25F and south winds at 10 to 15 mph.

Monday should be partly cloudy skies with a few rain showers developing later in the day. Highs will be around 45F with south winds at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain is 30%. Monday night should be cloudy with periods of rain. Lows will be around 42F with SSW winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain is 90% with rainfall near a quarter of an inch.

Tuesday rain is likely. Highs will be around 53F with south winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain is 90% with rainfall near a quarter of an inch. Tuesday night should bring rain showers early with overcast skies late. Lows will be around 53F with SSW winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain is 40%.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 54 and a low of 11. We had 15.5″ of snow at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are highs of 31 and lows of 13.
The record high was 58°F in 1981.
The record low was -25°F in 1979.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:48AM
Sunset: 5:25PM
Length of Visible Light: 11h 36m
Length of Day: 10h 37m
Tomorrow will be 2 minutes 55 seconds longer

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 2.3 days old with 6% illumination.
Moorise: 8:20AM
Moonset: 8:24PM

About Today’s Photo:

We took a little expedition up to East Swanton yesterday in hopes of spotting one of the snowy owls that had been sighted in the area over the past several weeks. No luck. However, we did take a nice walk near the Maquam Bog in the Missisquoi Wildlife Refuge and came across some interesting tracks. This set tells the story of a deer or white-footed mouse hopping across the trail with a long-tailed weasel or ermine close on its heels. Was the weasel successful?

Panasonic GX8, Lumix 14-140mm lens @ 19mm, ISO 400, f/9, 1/1000″ exposure.


Saturday, February 17, 2018

sensitive-fern-ice

A sensitive fern seed frond emerging from the ice

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 8:00AM it’s currently 9 degrees under clear skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 90%, dewpoint 7, barometric pressure 30.37” and rising. We picked up 0.02” of rain, a thin layer of glaze and 1.5” of snow, and have 5” at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 40, and the overnight low was 7.

Forecast:

High pressure building into the Northeast this morning will provide us with tranquil weather conditions for the first half of the weekend with plentiful sunshine and highs in the low to mid 30s. Tonight, an area of low pressure moving well southeast of New England will bring light snow to mainly eastern and southern portions of Vermont with light accumulations likely. A significant warming trend is expected Monday through Wednesday of next week, along with increasing chances for rain. Near record highs are possible Tuesday into Wednesday, with highs well into the 50s and possibly lower 60s.

We’ll see sunny skies this morning becoming cloudy during the afternoon. Highs will be around 33F with south winds at 5 to 10 mph. Tonight should bring snow showers early south and east of the Greens, with a steadier snow developing late. Lows will be near 25F with SSW winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow is 80% with snow accumulations of 1″ to 3″ mostly in Rutland and Windsor counties.

Sunday should start out mostly cloudy then become partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs will be around 36F with WNW winds at 10 to 15 mph. Sunday night should be mostly clear with lows around 24F and south winds at 5 to 10 mph.

Monday’s should start out mostly sunny in the morning then becoming cloudy with periods of rain later in the day. Highs will be around 43F with south winds at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain is 70%. Monday night rain is likely. Lows will be around 40F with south winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain is 90% with rainfall near a half an inch.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 33 and a low of 10. We picked up 4.5″ of new snow and had 20″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are highs of 31 and lows of 13.
The record high was 53°F in 1981.
The record low was -21°F in 1963.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:50AM
Sunset: 5:24PM
Length of Visible Light: 11h 33m
Length of Day: 10h 34m
Tomorrow will be 2 minutes 54 seconds longer

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 1.4 days old with 2% illumination.
Moonrise: 7:52AM
Moonset: 7:20PM

About Today’s Photo:

Freeze-thaw, freeze-thaw, freeze-thaw… Seems to be our lot this winter. This sensitive fern seed frond emerges from the ice.

Panasonic GX8, Olympus 60mm macro lens, ISO 800, f/13, 1/200″ exposure.


Friday, February 16, 2018

birch-cone

A quintet of birch seed “cones” in the snow

Morning Observation:

This morning in Huntington at 8:20AM it’s currently 36 degrees under overcast skies. Winds are calm. Relative humidity is 91%, dewpoint 33, barometric pressure 29.58” and steady. We picked up a 0.01” trace of rain in the past 24hrs and have 4” of snow at the stake. Yesterday’s high was 51, and the overnight low was 35.

Forecast:

A cold front is poised to move into the region later this morning allowing for some light snow to develop mainly over the mountains by midday. Any snow accumulations will range from a dusting in the Champlain Valley to 2″ in northern mountains. High pressure will build in tonight bringing clearing skies, dry conditions, and chilly overnight temperatures. Saturday should be mostly sunny and seasonable. A low pressure system will pass to our south Saturday night into Sunday bringing the chance of some light snow to the area especially over southern areas where maybe 2″-3″ of snow may fall with lesser amounts north. A warmer and wetter weather pattern is expected for the first half of next week. Alas…

We’ll see cloudy skies today with snow showers developing this afternoon. Morning high of 39F will fall to near 25 with the arrival of the aforementioned cold front. Winds will be NNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow is 60% with just a disting expected in valley locations and perhaps 2″ in northern mountains. Tonight should be partly cloudy with low near 10F and NW winds at 10 to 15 mph.

Saturday should be mostly sunny with highs around 32F and south winds at 5 to 10 mph. Saturday night should be cloudy with light snow likely after midnight. Lows will be around 26F with south winds at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow is 70% with snow accumulations of less than 1″.

Sunday’s looking mostly cloudy early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs will be around 38F with west winds at 10 to 15 mph. Sunday night should be mostly clear with lows around 27F and south winds at 5 to 10 mph.

Almanac:

Last year on this date we had a high of 26 and a low of 21. We picked up 6.75″ of new snow and had 13″ at the stake.

Burlington averages for this date are highs of 31 and lows of 13.
The record high was 55°F in 2016 (we had a high of 51).
The record low was -26°F in 1943.

Sky Notes:

Sunrise: 6:51AM
Sunset: 5:23PM
Length of Visible Light: 11h 31m
Length of Day: 10h 31m
Tomorrow will be 2 minutes 53 seconds longer

The Moon is a waxing crescent, 0.2 days old with 0.5% illumination.
Moonrise: 7:22AM
Moonset: 6:17PM

About Today’s Photo:

It was a prolific fall for many cone bearing trees including the birch at the edge of our front field. I’ve been seeing the trident shaped seeds on the snow everywhere in the wood this winter. The seeds are an important source of food for many species of birds and rodents.

Panasonic GX8, Olympus 60mm macro, ISO 800, f/8, 1/400″ exposure.